[00:00.00]90听音乐网 www.90T8.com [00:00.13]Imagine a ball hanging from a large number of thin cotton strings [00:03.77]The ball is one thousand pounds [00:05.85]Each individual string can only hold approximately five to ten pounds without breaking [00:10.61]But with around two hundred strings attached the ball is held up now [00:15.47]Imagine one by one the strings begin to get cut after the first stris cut nothing happens [00:22.27]After the second [00:23.21]The third [00:23.95]The tenth [00:24.69]The tweneth still nothing happens [00:27.71]But is the number of total strings reduces the likelihood that the next cut string because everything to fall [00:34.03]Increases eventually if no more strings are added one string will be the final strings [00:39.79]When the weight will no longer be withstandable [00:42.07]And all the other strings will begin to snap [00:44.73]But all system collapsing though will appear to be this one string one cut one act [00:51.42]That is the cause of everything falling [00:53.46]Of course [00:54.28]Each prior cut string will have been equally relevant [00:57.34]We will simply only know how close we were how much damage [01:00.50]We had caused after that last string is cut for many of us [01:06.68]This is what today's world can often feel like humanity constantly inferiently cutting in adding strings to hold up a very heavy world [01:14.16]Each of us watching threading in hoping that everything will sustain that no one will cut that last string [01:21.10]Of course [01:21.82]This is not an entirely unique or new feeling [01:24.32]Throughout all of history [01:25.50]People have worried about the state of things fearing and predicting the end of everything at least on some level fears of doom's days [01:32.58]The rats of god's cosmic order and disorder [01:35.04]And so on have all owned sigsigniant ant amount real estate in the province of human history [01:41.12]But arguably things feel different [01:43.76]Now the world feels weirder [01:46.64]That once paranoia [01:47.70]We attached to mythin gogods [01:49.76]Now feels like it has a real [01:51.34]Just a fiable object to attach to the human project in truth things feel weird and different now [01:59.29]Because things are weird and different now [02:01.95]Of course changes the only constant in history [02:04.67]But the rate and weirdness of change is not current [02:07.81]Humans are experiencing a degree of change in their individual lifetimes [02:10.91]Just the vast majority of humans have an experienced across generations just over the last thirty or four four times and individual has experienced life without the existence of the internet in a condition of society [02:21.81]Where faith in religions [02:23.05]Institutions and traditions were still prominent to a world [02:26.60]Inindaated by the internet [02:27.98]And then smart phones and smart devices to a world coordinated by algorithms instead of human intention were content trends in events pop up and disappear like bubbles in a world pool to a world [02:38.44]Swarmed by botton ai [02:39.70]Where fake things seem real and real things seem fake to a world [02:43.32]Where faith in institutions [02:44.56]Religions and traditional orientations is approaching the minority to a wordae who knows [02:51.45]嗯 [02:51.95]These are just some of the major differences in the conditions of society [02:55.27]Work [02:55.73]Technology [02:56.65]Relationships and life [02:57.89]Itself that have and do occur across decades or less [03:01.69]Now our childhoods are now not only distant from us in time [03:05.75]But in reality [03:07.01]Phases are not merely different chapters in our lives [03:09.87]But different chapters in different books [03:12.23]Naturally this can create a high level of unease and disorientation [03:16.17]And naturally this unease and disorientation can lead the high levels of syynicism despair [03:21.84]嗯 [03:22.98]The political scientist brian class describes humany's current condition as an inversion of stability [03:28.70]Dynamics [03:29.52]Where as a species we've gone from the historical dynamic of local instability in global stditions to local stability and global instability in other words we've gone from daily ly being gengely ly unpredictable and precarious [03:43.08]While global diditions large scale and temporal conditions remained relatively ly consient ent to precisely the opposite [03:49.68]Where now daily life from most people is generally consists [03:52.99]Indent safe [03:53.93]But global conditions political economic [03:56.63]Environmental and technological are highly volatile and unpredictable class rights [04:02.61]The past was largely defined by local instability [04:05.37]Day to day life was unpredictable [04:07.15]One day you could be healthy [04:08.55]The next day you could be dead [04:10.15]Struck down by a mysterious plague [04:12.13]Child birth was a death trap [04:13.77]Starvation was a constant threat [04:15.85]As crops might inexplicably fail or animals that were once abundant [04:19.19]Were suddenly nowhere to be found [04:20.13]But a distant ancestors also experiened global stability that didn't mean that the world never changed [04:25.75]But rather that broadly speaking society ticook along more less in similar ways from one generation to to the next [04:32.56]If your parents were a grerian peasants [04:34.72]You were likely to be in a grriiant peasant [04:38.72]Think back to when 're younger ger [04:39.88]You just started to properly comprehend the phenomenon of the future [04:43.42]Like most people you likely began to imagine in predict things that the future might hold who you would be [04:49.10]What you would do what the world will be like by certain age [04:53.28]We likely felt as though if we squeinted hard enough [04:56.12]We could almost see five ten twenty years or more out into the horizon of the future [05:01.29]As we've continue to get older this sort of impulse to stand on the edge of the present and look out [05:06.31]Trying to imagine predict and control the future continues for most of us [05:10.85]But now no matter how hard we seem to squit it seem like there's almost nothing to see [05:15.75]There's too much instability and uncertainty to see anything [05:18.89]Other than instability and uncertainty but in all honesty [05:22.92]When we first began making our predictions about what the future might be like how accurate [05:26.90]Where we then how accurate [05:28.74]Has anyone ever been across individual lives and across history [05:33.02]We are terrible psychics [05:34.60]But we are good mechanics [05:36.57]The future has always been unnowable and unpredictable [05:39.49]The world has always been chaotic in gruem [05:41.99]We have always had to fashion everything out of nothing and fix all the inevitable broken in faulty parts [05:47.21]We simply know and feel just how unpredictable and chaotic the world is as in our sits [05:51.57]In the palm of our hands and flashes [05:53.41]Across our wrtinness [05:54.25]Twenty four seven now we know and feel just how much work there is to be done [05:59.33]嗯嗯 [06:00.23]The irony is during a time [06:01.81]When the conditions of the world and future are most unclear [06:04.75]When chanis most rapid and hard to predict so many of us are so sure of our pessimism in cynicism [06:10.63]Many of us [06:11.15]Us so sure the the world is inevitably and irredemaably going the wrong direction [06:16.41]Of course [06:17.07]This is not to reduce our scoff at just how powerful and potentially destructive [06:21.09]We are now compared to other times in history [06:23.69]Nuclear weapons [06:24.77]Humanties affects on the climate in environment massive inequality [06:28.09]The pervasive hitnitizing feature of social media [06:31.24]Biological access and manipulation [06:33.36]Ai and other technological powers and so on are all new very legitimate concerns [06:39.48]But this is to suggest that we are not in canopbe sure or any of this cows [06:45.02]We are as a species [06:46.64]Teenagers at best destructive ignorant weird itself a grandicing [06:51.96]But as teenagers [06:53.72]If we survive our recklessness and make the right decisions [06:56.42]We are on course for adult tard for wisdom and maturity [07:00.76]If we make the right decisions [07:03.17]The future isn't some abstract cyfii concept [07:05.97]It is a real place [07:07.41]But it isn't a defined place [07:09.37]And it isn't a guaranteed place [07:11.69]We form and preserve it in every moment with all our decisions in habits [07:16.03]But individually inccollectively in the words of the american anthpologigidavid gaber [07:21.01]But ultimate hidden truth of the world is that [07:23.13]It is something that we make and could just as easily make differently as individuals and as a species [07:29.88]We are always forming new habits and seizing old ones [07:32.90]Though it often doesn't seem like it in many ways we are growing wiser [07:37.22]What better sign of this collective wisdom could there be than the increasing self loading over our ignorance [07:42.86]Currently we're the freeest most educated healthiest and wealthiest [07:46.88]We have ever been as a species [07:48.94]Only two hundred years ago [07:50.30]Only twelve percent of the global population could read and right today nearly ninety percent of the world can today with the global population that has also grown eight fold [07:59.22]Since then global expectancy two two hundred years ago [08:02.18]Was roughly thirty years today it is in the seventies [08:05.50]Two hundred years ago [08:06.54]There were essentially no democracies in the modern sense today nearly half the world has run via some form of liberal or electoral democracy [08:14.53]Never has there been less life threating diseases and less human on human violence [08:19.05]Of course [08:19.73]There are many many other problems [08:21.37]Both new and old [08:22.55]That still needs serious attention [08:24.51]But there's no good clear reason to assume that if everything continues mostly on course things won't continue in an upriright direction [08:32.03]还有没有the problem with all of this [08:34.88]Returning to that original feeling of witnessing the weighted ball of earth suspended by thin cotton strings of which humanity seems to increasingly infferitly tly cut use as material is that no matter what happens in the long run [08:46.64]No matter how good things are in certain areas [08:48.64]Now compared to in the past [08:50.62]We don't live in the long run [08:52.42]We don't live in the past [08:53.92]And we don't live in the data in lines [08:55.94]In graphs [08:56.52]In charts [08:57.60]We live here in now in our heads a strange place [09:01.74]In a strange place as the historian and writer youve all know hori ririghwe do not become satisfied by leading a peaceful and prosperous existence [09:10.69]Rather we become satisfied [09:12.71]When reality matches our expectations [09:15.15]The bad news is that as conditions improve expectations balloon [09:20.71]We are each personally faced with the task of understanding [09:23.67]Managing and mitigating our expectations [09:26.09]Our perceptions [09:27.11]Hopes and values [09:28.50]We cannot control the world or predict the future [09:30.91]But we can perhaps on some level control [09:33.55]How much we try to for each of us there are also thin cotton strings that hold us up [09:39.01]And with each personal choice inhabit we contribute to the cutting or adding of these strings [09:44.61]Every time we have await some amount of social media [09:46.95]Every time we choose to discengage from some amount of the news [09:49.79]Every time we choose to engage more with our partners [09:52.17]Our friends [09:52.89]Our families [09:53.61]Our communities [09:54.67]Every time we choose to create art and exercise the body [09:57.67]Every time we choose some form of hope in openness over certain forms of cynism and clinging to control [10:02.95]Every time we choose compassion over bitterness we retain in add more strings [10:08.76]This is not to say that concerning ourselves with our future both personal and collective [10:13.06]Or that's driving to control and improve areas of life and society [10:16.32]Wherever we can [10:16.98]Or that enjoying the pleasures of modern technology [10:20.20]Or that being realistic in sometimes cynical are bad [10:23.64]But rather concerning ourselves too much with these things [10:27.06]Often is as regurnnure ure wrote who who ghtes with monsters should see to it [10:32.68]That he does not become a monster himself [10:34.30]And if you gaze into the abyyse [10:36.58]The abyss gaes into you [10:38.04]Also we have work to do on a societal in global level [10:43.80]Work to ensure that things get better for everyone and stay stable and around [10:48.52]But we also have work to do on an individual level [10:51.52]Work to ensure that we stay stable and around [10:55.09]Optimism and hope are not universal philosophes their weapons and tools that we can sharpen and use [11:00.45]When appropriate and when needed real generosity towards the future lies in giving all to the present wrote alberarcammuon [11:09.92]We have never ventured out this far [11:11.72]The landscape is precarious and unknown [11:14.02]But we have prepared the best we can [11:15.80]And we brought all our best year [11:17.66]We have survived everything up until now individually and collectively that doesn't mean we will survive everything [11:24.04]Or that everything will be good [11:26.00]But it does mean that we and things can [11:29.27]The fears and propheses [11:30.67]The doom's days and apocalypses ses [11:32.63]The gows and myththe storms and wars [11:34.79]We've outsmarted and survived at all not without fear [11:38.47]But in spite of it [11:39.49]Not without risk [11:41.05]But in the face of it [11:43.26]Of course much has been lost in the process [11:45.90]It has not all been in [11:47.18]Is not without destruction in bloodshed [11:49.38]But we've also reduced the destruction in bloodsheed in proprowe [11:53.30]We are always the the brone perperson when chochoice from from final string being cut [11:57.82]But it hasn't been cut [11:59.20]Being cut [11:59.90]And we are constantly hanging more [12:02.33]Things are precarious [12:03.77]Humans are deeply ignorant and often awful [12:06.61]But things are also unfathomably interesting in exciting [12:10.03]And humans are often brilliant and kind perhaps [12:13.46]The best reason to continue is merely to see what happens to be surprised [12:18.20]To find out how wrong our predictions were and maybe [12:21.48]Just maybe how write our hopes and efforts were and the words of hurri each and every one of us has been born into a given historical reality [12:30.97]Ruled by particular norms in values [12:33.25]And managed by a unique economic in political system [12:36.29]We take this reality for granted thinking [12:38.47]It is nnatal al vvitable immumuable [12:41.59]We forget that world was created by an accidental chain of events [12:44.99]And that history shaped not only our technology [12:47.35]Politics and society [12:48.99]But also our thoughts [12:50.31]Fears and dreamtable 我the cold hand of the past emerges from the grave of our ancestors [12:55.55]Grips us by the neck and directs our gazed towards a single future [12:59.25]We have felt that grip from the moment we are born [13:01.71]So we assume that it is a natural and ineescapable part of who we are therefore seldom m to shake ourselves free and envision predict the future res [13:10.25]This is best [13:10.75]Best reasent to learn history not in order prepredict future [13:13.51]But the free yourself of the past and imagine alternative destinies
LRC动态歌词下载
[00:00.00]90听音乐网 www.90T8.com[00:00.13]Imagine a ball hanging from a large number of thin cotton strings
[00:03.77]The ball is one thousand pounds
[00:05.85]Each individual string can only hold approximately five to ten pounds without breaking
[00:10.61]But with around two hundred strings attached the ball is held up now
[00:15.47]Imagine one by one the strings begin to get cut after the first stris cut nothing happens
[00:22.27]After the second
[00:23.21]The third
[00:23.95]The tenth
[00:24.69]The tweneth still nothing happens
[00:27.71]But is the number of total strings reduces the likelihood that the next cut string because everything to fall
[00:34.03]Increases eventually if no more strings are added one string will be the final strings
[00:39.79]When the weight will no longer be withstandable
[00:42.07]And all the other strings will begin to snap
[00:44.73]But all system collapsing though will appear to be this one string one cut one act
[00:51.42]That is the cause of everything falling
[00:53.46]Of course
[00:54.28]Each prior cut string will have been equally relevant
[00:57.34]We will simply only know how close we were how much damage
[01:00.50]We had caused after that last string is cut for many of us
[01:06.68]This is what today's world can often feel like humanity constantly inferiently cutting in adding strings to hold up a very heavy world
[01:14.16]Each of us watching threading in hoping that everything will sustain that no one will cut that last string
[01:21.10]Of course
[01:21.82]This is not an entirely unique or new feeling
[01:24.32]Throughout all of history
[01:25.50]People have worried about the state of things fearing and predicting the end of everything at least on some level fears of doom's days
[01:32.58]The rats of god's cosmic order and disorder
[01:35.04]And so on have all owned sigsigniant ant amount real estate in the province of human history
[01:41.12]But arguably things feel different
[01:43.76]Now the world feels weirder
[01:46.64]That once paranoia
[01:47.70]We attached to mythin gogods
[01:49.76]Now feels like it has a real
[01:51.34]Just a fiable object to attach to the human project in truth things feel weird and different now
[01:59.29]Because things are weird and different now
[02:01.95]Of course changes the only constant in history
[02:04.67]But the rate and weirdness of change is not current
[02:07.81]Humans are experiencing a degree of change in their individual lifetimes
[02:10.91]Just the vast majority of humans have an experienced across generations just over the last thirty or four four times and individual has experienced life without the existence of the internet in a condition of society
[02:21.81]Where faith in religions
[02:23.05]Institutions and traditions were still prominent to a world
[02:26.60]Inindaated by the internet
[02:27.98]And then smart phones and smart devices to a world coordinated by algorithms instead of human intention were content trends in events pop up and disappear like bubbles in a world pool to a world
[02:38.44]Swarmed by botton ai
[02:39.70]Where fake things seem real and real things seem fake to a world
[02:43.32]Where faith in institutions
[02:44.56]Religions and traditional orientations is approaching the minority to a wordae who knows
[02:51.45]嗯
[02:51.95]These are just some of the major differences in the conditions of society
[02:55.27]Work
[02:55.73]Technology
[02:56.65]Relationships and life
[02:57.89]Itself that have and do occur across decades or less
[03:01.69]Now our childhoods are now not only distant from us in time
[03:05.75]But in reality
[03:07.01]Phases are not merely different chapters in our lives
[03:09.87]But different chapters in different books
[03:12.23]Naturally this can create a high level of unease and disorientation
[03:16.17]And naturally this unease and disorientation can lead the high levels of syynicism despair
[03:21.84]嗯
[03:22.98]The political scientist brian class describes humany's current condition as an inversion of stability
[03:28.70]Dynamics
[03:29.52]Where as a species we've gone from the historical dynamic of local instability in global stditions to local stability and global instability in other words we've gone from daily ly being gengely ly unpredictable and precarious
[03:43.08]While global diditions large scale and temporal conditions remained relatively ly consient ent to precisely the opposite
[03:49.68]Where now daily life from most people is generally consists
[03:52.99]Indent safe
[03:53.93]But global conditions political economic
[03:56.63]Environmental and technological are highly volatile and unpredictable class rights
[04:02.61]The past was largely defined by local instability
[04:05.37]Day to day life was unpredictable
[04:07.15]One day you could be healthy
[04:08.55]The next day you could be dead
[04:10.15]Struck down by a mysterious plague
[04:12.13]Child birth was a death trap
[04:13.77]Starvation was a constant threat
[04:15.85]As crops might inexplicably fail or animals that were once abundant
[04:19.19]Were suddenly nowhere to be found
[04:20.13]But a distant ancestors also experiened global stability that didn't mean that the world never changed
[04:25.75]But rather that broadly speaking society ticook along more less in similar ways from one generation to to the next
[04:32.56]If your parents were a grerian peasants
[04:34.72]You were likely to be in a grriiant peasant
[04:38.72]Think back to when 're younger ger
[04:39.88]You just started to properly comprehend the phenomenon of the future
[04:43.42]Like most people you likely began to imagine in predict things that the future might hold who you would be
[04:49.10]What you would do what the world will be like by certain age
[04:53.28]We likely felt as though if we squeinted hard enough
[04:56.12]We could almost see five ten twenty years or more out into the horizon of the future
[05:01.29]As we've continue to get older this sort of impulse to stand on the edge of the present and look out
[05:06.31]Trying to imagine predict and control the future continues for most of us
[05:10.85]But now no matter how hard we seem to squit it seem like there's almost nothing to see
[05:15.75]There's too much instability and uncertainty to see anything
[05:18.89]Other than instability and uncertainty but in all honesty
[05:22.92]When we first began making our predictions about what the future might be like how accurate
[05:26.90]Where we then how accurate
[05:28.74]Has anyone ever been across individual lives and across history
[05:33.02]We are terrible psychics
[05:34.60]But we are good mechanics
[05:36.57]The future has always been unnowable and unpredictable
[05:39.49]The world has always been chaotic in gruem
[05:41.99]We have always had to fashion everything out of nothing and fix all the inevitable broken in faulty parts
[05:47.21]We simply know and feel just how unpredictable and chaotic the world is as in our sits
[05:51.57]In the palm of our hands and flashes
[05:53.41]Across our wrtinness
[05:54.25]Twenty four seven now we know and feel just how much work there is to be done
[05:59.33]嗯嗯
[06:00.23]The irony is during a time
[06:01.81]When the conditions of the world and future are most unclear
[06:04.75]When chanis most rapid and hard to predict so many of us are so sure of our pessimism in cynicism
[06:10.63]Many of us
[06:11.15]Us so sure the the world is inevitably and irredemaably going the wrong direction
[06:16.41]Of course
[06:17.07]This is not to reduce our scoff at just how powerful and potentially destructive
[06:21.09]We are now compared to other times in history
[06:23.69]Nuclear weapons
[06:24.77]Humanties affects on the climate in environment massive inequality
[06:28.09]The pervasive hitnitizing feature of social media
[06:31.24]Biological access and manipulation
[06:33.36]Ai and other technological powers and so on are all new very legitimate concerns
[06:39.48]But this is to suggest that we are not in canopbe sure or any of this cows
[06:45.02]We are as a species
[06:46.64]Teenagers at best destructive ignorant weird itself a grandicing
[06:51.96]But as teenagers
[06:53.72]If we survive our recklessness and make the right decisions
[06:56.42]We are on course for adult tard for wisdom and maturity
[07:00.76]If we make the right decisions
[07:03.17]The future isn't some abstract cyfii concept
[07:05.97]It is a real place
[07:07.41]But it isn't a defined place
[07:09.37]And it isn't a guaranteed place
[07:11.69]We form and preserve it in every moment with all our decisions in habits
[07:16.03]But individually inccollectively in the words of the american anthpologigidavid gaber
[07:21.01]But ultimate hidden truth of the world is that
[07:23.13]It is something that we make and could just as easily make differently as individuals and as a species
[07:29.88]We are always forming new habits and seizing old ones
[07:32.90]Though it often doesn't seem like it in many ways we are growing wiser
[07:37.22]What better sign of this collective wisdom could there be than the increasing self loading over our ignorance
[07:42.86]Currently we're the freeest most educated healthiest and wealthiest
[07:46.88]We have ever been as a species
[07:48.94]Only two hundred years ago
[07:50.30]Only twelve percent of the global population could read and right today nearly ninety percent of the world can today with the global population that has also grown eight fold
[07:59.22]Since then global expectancy two two hundred years ago
[08:02.18]Was roughly thirty years today it is in the seventies
[08:05.50]Two hundred years ago
[08:06.54]There were essentially no democracies in the modern sense today nearly half the world has run via some form of liberal or electoral democracy
[08:14.53]Never has there been less life threating diseases and less human on human violence
[08:19.05]Of course
[08:19.73]There are many many other problems
[08:21.37]Both new and old
[08:22.55]That still needs serious attention
[08:24.51]But there's no good clear reason to assume that if everything continues mostly on course things won't continue in an upriright direction
[08:32.03]还有没有the problem with all of this
[08:34.88]Returning to that original feeling of witnessing the weighted ball of earth suspended by thin cotton strings of which humanity seems to increasingly infferitly tly cut use as material is that no matter what happens in the long run
[08:46.64]No matter how good things are in certain areas
[08:48.64]Now compared to in the past
[08:50.62]We don't live in the long run
[08:52.42]We don't live in the past
[08:53.92]And we don't live in the data in lines
[08:55.94]In graphs
[08:56.52]In charts
[08:57.60]We live here in now in our heads a strange place
[09:01.74]In a strange place as the historian and writer youve all know hori ririghwe do not become satisfied by leading a peaceful and prosperous existence
[09:10.69]Rather we become satisfied
[09:12.71]When reality matches our expectations
[09:15.15]The bad news is that as conditions improve expectations balloon
[09:20.71]We are each personally faced with the task of understanding
[09:23.67]Managing and mitigating our expectations
[09:26.09]Our perceptions
[09:27.11]Hopes and values
[09:28.50]We cannot control the world or predict the future
[09:30.91]But we can perhaps on some level control
[09:33.55]How much we try to for each of us there are also thin cotton strings that hold us up
[09:39.01]And with each personal choice inhabit we contribute to the cutting or adding of these strings
[09:44.61]Every time we have await some amount of social media
[09:46.95]Every time we choose to discengage from some amount of the news
[09:49.79]Every time we choose to engage more with our partners
[09:52.17]Our friends
[09:52.89]Our families
[09:53.61]Our communities
[09:54.67]Every time we choose to create art and exercise the body
[09:57.67]Every time we choose some form of hope in openness over certain forms of cynism and clinging to control
[10:02.95]Every time we choose compassion over bitterness we retain in add more strings
[10:08.76]This is not to say that concerning ourselves with our future both personal and collective
[10:13.06]Or that's driving to control and improve areas of life and society
[10:16.32]Wherever we can
[10:16.98]Or that enjoying the pleasures of modern technology
[10:20.20]Or that being realistic in sometimes cynical are bad
[10:23.64]But rather concerning ourselves too much with these things
[10:27.06]Often is as regurnnure ure wrote who who ghtes with monsters should see to it
[10:32.68]That he does not become a monster himself
[10:34.30]And if you gaze into the abyyse
[10:36.58]The abyss gaes into you
[10:38.04]Also we have work to do on a societal in global level
[10:43.80]Work to ensure that things get better for everyone and stay stable and around
[10:48.52]But we also have work to do on an individual level
[10:51.52]Work to ensure that we stay stable and around
[10:55.09]Optimism and hope are not universal philosophes their weapons and tools that we can sharpen and use
[11:00.45]When appropriate and when needed real generosity towards the future lies in giving all to the present wrote alberarcammuon
[11:09.92]We have never ventured out this far
[11:11.72]The landscape is precarious and unknown
[11:14.02]But we have prepared the best we can
[11:15.80]And we brought all our best year
[11:17.66]We have survived everything up until now individually and collectively that doesn't mean we will survive everything
[11:24.04]Or that everything will be good
[11:26.00]But it does mean that we and things can
[11:29.27]The fears and propheses
[11:30.67]The doom's days and apocalypses ses
[11:32.63]The gows and myththe storms and wars
[11:34.79]We've outsmarted and survived at all not without fear
[11:38.47]But in spite of it
[11:39.49]Not without risk
[11:41.05]But in the face of it
[11:43.26]Of course much has been lost in the process
[11:45.90]It has not all been in
[11:47.18]Is not without destruction in bloodshed
[11:49.38]But we've also reduced the destruction in bloodsheed in proprowe
[11:53.30]We are always the the brone perperson when chochoice from from final string being cut
[11:57.82]But it hasn't been cut
[11:59.20]Being cut
[11:59.90]And we are constantly hanging more
[12:02.33]Things are precarious
[12:03.77]Humans are deeply ignorant and often awful
[12:06.61]But things are also unfathomably interesting in exciting
[12:10.03]And humans are often brilliant and kind perhaps
[12:13.46]The best reason to continue is merely to see what happens to be surprised
[12:18.20]To find out how wrong our predictions were and maybe
[12:21.48]Just maybe how write our hopes and efforts were and the words of hurri each and every one of us has been born into a given historical reality
[12:30.97]Ruled by particular norms in values
[12:33.25]And managed by a unique economic in political system
[12:36.29]We take this reality for granted thinking
[12:38.47]It is nnatal al vvitable immumuable
[12:41.59]We forget that world was created by an accidental chain of events
[12:44.99]And that history shaped not only our technology
[12:47.35]Politics and society
[12:48.99]But also our thoughts
[12:50.31]Fears and dreamtable 我the cold hand of the past emerges from the grave of our ancestors
[12:55.55]Grips us by the neck and directs our gazed towards a single future
[12:59.25]We have felt that grip from the moment we are born
[13:01.71]So we assume that it is a natural and ineescapable part of who we are therefore seldom m to shake ourselves free and envision predict the future res
[13:10.25]This is best
[13:10.75]Best reasent to learn history not in order prepredict future
[13:13.51]But the free yourself of the past and imagine alternative destinies
